Most of us have heard of bonds, but many of
us don't understand just what a bond is. It's essentially a
long-term loan. If a company issues bonds, it's borrowing cash
and promising to pay it back at a certain rate of interest.
Bonds sold by the U.S. government's
Treasury Department are called "Treasuries." State and local
governments issue "municipal bonds," while businesses issue
"corporate bonds" (sometimes called corporate "paper").
Companies that may be perceived as low-quality are forced to
offer high-interest-rate "junk" bonds to attract buyers. There's
a higher risk that someday they won't have the cash to cover
interest payments and the bonds will default.
Bond investors receive regular interest
payments from the issuer at what is called the "coupon rate."
For example, a $1,000 bond with a coupon rate of 10% generates
payments of $100 per year. When the bond matures -- after
perhaps five, 10, or 30 years -- investors get back their
initial loan, called "par value." Most corporate bonds have a
par value of $1,000, while government bonds can run much higher.
Sometimes a company will "call" its bond,
paying back the principal early. All bonds specify whether and
how soon they can be called. Federal government bonds are never
called.
To calculate a bond's yield, divide the
amount of interest it will pay over the course of a year by its
current price. If a $1,000 bond pays $75 a year in interest, its
current yield is $75 divided by $1,000, or 7.5%.
Once issued, bonds can be traded among
investors, with their prices rising and falling in reaction to
changing interest rates. For example, when rates fall, people
bid up bond prices. If banks are offering 6%, an 8% bond starts
looking good.
In the long run, stocks have outperformed
bonds handily. According to Jeremy Siegel's Stocks for the
Long Run, from 1802 to 1997 (yes, you read that right -- 195
years), the stock market offered an average nominal annual
return of 8.4% per year, compared with 4.8% for long-term
government bonds.
Stocks outperform bonds even when you
eliminate the 19th-century data. According to Ibbotson &
Associates, from 1926 to 2000 (notice that includes the Great
Depression years), U.S. Treasury bills returned an average of
3.8% per year, compared with 5.3% for long-term corporate bonds
and 11% for stocks. If you had invested $5,000 in T-bills 50
years ago, it would now be worth $33,272. Growing at 11% in
stocks, it would be worth $922,824. (From 1926 to 2000,
inflation grew at an average rate of 3.1% annually.)
For long-term investors, stocks offer the
best potential for growth. Still, it's smart to understand how
bonds work before you dismiss them. And also to understand that
although stocks may average 11% growth over a long period, over
the next five or 10 or even 20 years, the average return may be
different.